Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Action without violence

Having been sworn in as the new president Mwai Kibaki now has access to constitutional means to defend his presidency which puts Raila and those who see his election as fraudulent in a fix. The police have been quick to ban all rallies which has created so much tension given that the oppossition led by Raila are planning to march tomorrow to statehouse. It is no longer a question of numbers, no one doubts the ability of Raila to mobilze 1million Kenyans for the march to statehouse, the question is what will be the cost of such action.

If people heed Raila's call (which most certainly) and come out into the streets tomorrow we are headed for more bloodshed and chaos, while that might achieve something for Raila's claim to presidency it will cause unneccessary suffering to the Kenyan community. But what other options are there for Raila? Is he to take a backbench and wait for another 5years to run for presidency? Is there a possibility that with a majority of MP he could hold the government more accountable as the oppossition? What would happen if he called for a countrywide boycott?

Elections are about timming and it would appear that Raila sees this as his best chance since ODM was running on the popularity gained during the 2005 referendum, ODM as an entity is not immune to disintergration and as such the longer Raila has to wait the harder it will be for him to marshal a popular party to win the elections with. On the other hand he would still be popular much so because Kibaki will not be vying(unless he changes the constitution).

The other option is for Raila and all ODM MP to keep the government accountable for the next 5 Years which will result in better governance and credibility for ODM and a definate win in 2012.

Kenyan protest as witnessed now and in the past end up in ugly confrontations and it is unwise for Raila to call on people to converge at Uhuru Park for a rally when clearly the police are out to disrupt it. It would be acceptable if Raila and indeed the other eleceted leaders sought other forms of mass action. They could start a hunger strike and demand that an inquiry be held, they could ask their supporters to stay at home and not report to work to force the government to recount the votes. This actions will put pressure on the government without neccessarily creating room for escalation to violence.

Given Raila and other leaders stature it is possible that while they might face the same violence from the police during the march chances are that the police will be trying hard not to hurt them personally as that will create more uproar;the countless citizens will be at the recieving end. Already there are reports of massive internal displacement of people which indicates that the electoral violence is taking a turn into tribal clashes.

While peace and justice go hand in hand we must seek ways to make peace while we fight for justice. My heartfelt condoloscence to the families that have lost loved ones. Why must we travel down this road? How many more have to perish before we can rethink?

As a Kenyan in the diaspora it is disheartening to see imamges of fellow Kenyans being killed, tortured and displaced, reminds me of how volitile politics in my motherland can be.

Lets act but without violence.

Oti

33 comments:

Anonymous said...

IT RISES AND FALLS ON LEADERSHIP!

I have seen all these pre and post election violence, it's not History to me. Tribalism has never been our cup of tea, all these are political gimmicks for those who want to consolidate power.

Let me baptize myself as Mr. Radical before other do it.

Neither Raila nor Kibaki has an a long term solution for this country if they preach peace during these turbulent moments in these country's history when at the same time themselves and they cronies in the political arena keep on issuing inflammatory statements on the mainstream media thus aggravating the already worse situation.
This is the only time to be sincere to myself and to the residents of the world. Truly speaking, If I had the mandate I would do away with that post of the Government spokesman because of the light manner in which he comments on the numerous deaths of Kenyans. Any citizens death irregardless of his social status is a big blow to the country. Muzzling the media should not be a solution to covering an incompetent Electrol Commission that is full of very senior lawyers on the land.

I totally agree that each and every Kenyan has a constitutional right to express himself but those who were lost their seat should perhaps stay silent now and refrain from making silly comments on the media that continue to raise the political temperatures when other are busy trying to cool them,. Keep quite because incumbents are never voted out unless they are incompetent!

Though every cornner of the world including Kenyan leaders continue calling for peace now, I strongly believe they are being hypocritical, because I have a different view of what peace is... is the lack of large scale war but you stay under very pathetic conditions in slums not fit for human beings? Is peace the numerous service deliver gaps we see around everyday I wake up? Is peace lack of education facilities and employment opportunities for the young people? is peace muzzling the media to deny citizens information? Is peace when 'their' businesses flourish when our fathers and mothers are paid peanuts in Export Processing Zones? The calls for PEACE and CALM are fictious...
Raila, Kibaki and any other leader should realize that the exercise of their power is dependent on the people's will whom upon upon withdrawing that will, you are as as good an egg shell.

Democracy is very expensive we know that alot of energy, time and even lives have to be sacrificed to reach there. I do not want to say that the recent violence was bad but at the sae time I am not glorifying crimes against humanity but it's a clear show that their is no more fooling Kenyans and that any other democratic processes should never be joked around with again because the consequences are too grave.
biGtOTO!

Unknown said...

IT RISES AND FALLS ON LEADERSHIP!

I have seen all these pre and post election violence, it's not History to me. Tribalism has never been our cup of tea, all these are political gimmicks for those who want to consolidate power.

Let me baptize myself as Mr. Radical before other do it.

Neither Raila nor Kibaki has an a long term solution for this country if they preach peace during these turbulent moments in these country's history and at the same time themselves and they cronies in the political arena keep on issuing inflammatory statements on the mainstream media thus aggravating the already worse situation.
This is the only time to be sincere to myself and to the residents of the world. Truly speaking, If I had the mandate I would do away with that post of the Government spokesman because of the light manner in which he comments on the numerous deaths of Kenyans. Any citizens death irregardless of his social status is a big blow to the country. Muzzling the media should not be a solution to covering an incompetent Electrol Commission that is full of very senior lawyers on the land.

I totally agree that each and every Kenyan has a constitutional right to express himself, however, it would be a good idea if those who lost their seats in the just concluded elections stayed silent now and refrain from making dangerous comments on the media that continue to raise the political temperatures when other are busy trying to cool them. Keep quite! Because incumbents are never voted out unless they are incompetent!

Though every cornner of the world including Kenyan leaders continue calling for peace now, I strongly believe they are being hypocritical, because I have a different view of what peace is... Is it the lack of large scale war when kenyans stay under very pathetic conditions in slums? Is peace the numerous service delivery gaps I see in my neighborhood everyday I wake up? Is peace lack of proper education facilities and employment opportunities for the young people? is peace muzzling the media to deny citizens information? Is peace when 'their' businesses flourish while our fathers and mothers are paid peanuts in Export Processing Zones? The calls for PEACE and CALM are fictious...

Raila, Kibaki and any other leader should realize that the exercise of their power is dependent on the people's will whom upon upon withdrawing that will, any of them is as as good an egg shell.

Democracy is very expensive we know that a lot of energy, time and even lives have to be sacrificed to reach there. I do not want to say that the recent violence was bad but at the same time I am not glorifying crimes against humanity neither do support the senseless destruction of people's property but it's a clear show that their is no more fooling Kenyans and that any other democratic processes should never be joked around with again because the consequences are too grave bear.
biGtOTO! I'll be back

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